Saturday 25 February 2012

Pricey gold no more the preferred investment: Farmers opting for bank deposits and insurance schemes

KOLKATA: Satya Prakash Saini, a small farmer from Rajasthan's Jhalawar district, had a reasonably good harvest last year when he managed to save Rs 25,000 after all expenses. As most villagers would do, Saini visited a local jeweller to buy some gold for his second daughter, who he plans to marry off four years from now.

But, alas, his precious saving was not enough to even buy 10 gram of 24 karat gold, priced at about Rs 28,000. Saini changed his plans and parked his savings in a three-year bank deposit. Some 750 km away to the north in Saharanpur district of Uttar Pradesh, horticulturist Rajpal Singh put his savings in a life insurance-plus-investment product for the same reason.

"Gold has been preferred by our family as it is a symbol of prosperity and is a safe instrument. But this time I could not buy gold because of its steep price," says Singh, who belongs to Jaghetta Gujjar village.

Farmers in India, who have traditionally bought gold and silver for asset creation, are now increasingly opting for banking and insurance products due to soaring prices of bullion.

So, while rural jewellers report a 25-30% fall in gold demand over the past five months, bankers say term deposit collections in rural areas have grown in double digits in recent months.

Welcome development for banks & economy

Economists say it's a welcome development not just for banks, but for the economy as well. "Gold as an asset class is unproductive in nature as it largely remains locked up in households. But banking instruments such as term deposits can be deployed for the benefit of the rural economy," says Anish Chakravarty, director and senior economist at Deloitte, Haskins & Sells, a financial advisory firm.

"However, one critical component is that farmers should remain invested in these products to accrue the benefits," he adds. It's not just rural folks drifting away from the yellow metal. Gold demand in the country fell 42% during October-December to 173 tonnes, the World Gold Council (WGC) said in a report last week.

The country's gold imports dropped 44% during the quarter to trail China for the first time as gold's popularity as an investment safe haven and a weakening rupee pushed prices to record highs. The WGC expects China to overtake India as the largest gold consumer in 2012 when Indian gold imports may fall by a fifth to 770 tonnes. Average gold price (24 karat) in 2011 was Rs 23,620 per 10 gram, 31% more than the previous year.

Now, it's more than Rs 28,500. Viraj Singh, a jeweller from Gurdaspur in Punjab, confirms gold demand has slipped. "Footfalls have dwindled as prices have gone up. They (farmers) must be investing in other instruments," he says.

Banks are now aggressively selling products in rural areas. Kotak Mahindra Bank's Consumer Bank President KVS Manian says the maximum response has come from rural Punjab, Rajasthan and Uttar Pradesh, where his bank has increased deposit mobilisation in rural areas year-on-year by 70%, 85% and 39%, in the past five months. "People were lured by higher deposit rates and pumped in more money into term deposits.
The poor performance of equity as an asset class also helped in higher deposit collection," he says. Around 25-30% of Kotak's branches are in rural and semiurban centres. A senior official with Bank of Baroda says deposit collection from rural India grew 22% yearon-year in the first nine months of 2011-12. "People have switched to term deposits from savings bank to get higher returns," he adds.

Bank of Baroda acts as the convenor of the state-level bankers' committee in Uttar Pradesh. Kashi Gomti Samyut Gramin Bank, a regional rural bank with 370 branches in Uttar Pradesh, for instance, says its deposits grew 16.05% in calendar 2011. BK Pandit, chairman of Prathama Bank, another regional rural bank in Uttar Pradesh, says deposit growth will speed up because of the good sugarcane harvest this year.

"We operate in the sugarcane belt in UP. The harvest is very good this time and we expect higher deposit collection as other investments such as gold have become prohibitive due to spiralling prices," he says. While several farmers are parking their savings in life insurance policies, insurers are yet to report any significant jump in premium collections from rural areas.

In fact, the number of policies sold in rural areas in the nine months ended December at 81.6 lakh was 12% less than the year-ago period, according to data from industry body Life Insurance Council. "At present we cannot say whether rural India has picked up life insurance policies in lieu of gold," a senior insurance official says.


http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/personal-finance/savings-centre/analysis/pricey-gold-no-more-the-preferred-investment-farmers-opting-for-bank-deposits-and-insurance-schemes/articleshow/12027523.cms?curpg=2

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